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Many gridiron enthusiasts begin their NFL predictions long before the commencement of the season. Formulating your yearly NFL predictions is not near as easy it appears. It requires adequate research, which of course means that it will occupy quite a bit of your time.
Accurate NFL predictions are based on several key components. Firstly, you must wait until the annual NFL draft is complete. During draft weekend, there are typically more trades and transactions, which can alter a team`s roster. Additionally, the coaching carousel is complete, which means each team is aware of who their coach is for the next season. This builds the foundation for your NFL predictions for the impending season.
Following the draft, you must recognize the importance of key arrivals to a team, as well as key departures. Many attempting their NFL predictions are under the common misconception that they must peer into the previous season`s record. Sure, that can be somewhat effective, but if you really examine recent seasons, you will see that a team`s record one season is not an indication of what their record will be the succeeding season. Occasionally, you can examine a team and how they finished the season, and if they maintain their roster, you can anticipate their performance in the following season, but that is not the case for every team or situation.
With that said, it is necessary to review the team`s roster from a year ago to assess who the team lost compared to who they gained.
Keeping an eye on the key arrivals and departures allows you to examine what a team lost or gained. A team may have lost several key veterans to the free agent market; however, they may have added a group of young prospects, whether it was from free agency, or the draft. Perhaps a team allowed a solid core of offensive players to walk out the door, and did not fully compensate for what they lost offensively; but it was more important for the team to beef up their defensive unit, therefore, most of their key arrivals included defensive players.
When it comes to your NFL predictions, you cannot overlook the coaching staff. Typically, when a team changes head coaches, a new philosophy has to be instilled into the team. It means that likely, there is going to be a facelift in the entire coaching staff. This means that an adjustment period is inevitable. The success of a team with a new coach is determined by how quickly they can adjust to the new philosophy. In some cases, all it takes is training camp and preseason, and they are ready for the new playbook. However, in most cases, it can take weeks, or even years to adjust to a new coaching staff.
When it comes to NFL predictions, this can be tricky because it is difficult to project how quickly a team will adjust to a new coaching staff. Sometimes you can track a coach and his history to see how well previous teams have adjusted to his philosophy. If it is a first-time coach, you almost have to rely on gut instinct. Sometimes, a coaching staff overhaul can make or break your NFL predictions.
A thorough analysis of a team`s roster and coaching staff occupies an abundance of your time, but it usually helps the accuracy of your NFL predictions.
One thing that can throw a curve ball at your predictions for the upcoming NFL season is the dreaded I-word. You can never truly predict a key player being injured. The only way you can remotely attempt this is to review a player`s history. Is he injury-prone? Some positions are more demanding, so that can play a role. Moreover, the older a player is, the prospect of an injury is greater.
Another key facet to your NFL predictions is the schedule. Once you have analyzed each team and how you anticipate their performance-level to be, you can base your NFL predictions on each team`s schedule. Certain teams may have a daunting schedule, while others, especially in weaker divisions, may have a less competitive schedule. Always, review a team`s schedule, but only after you have analyzed each team. The accuracy of your NFL predictions depends on it.
Some analysts like to go ahead and predict the outcome of every game on the agenda in order to form the predictions in the NFL standings.
Sure, this is not for the casual fan. This is usually for high-spirited NFL enthusiasts, bettors, and fantasy football addicts.